Sunday, January 15, 2012

Earnings for Financials

From Manyanville:


Next week nearly every large bank including Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Bank of America (BAC) will report. Regional bank Suntrust (STI) and credit-card company American Express (AXP) will also report. Tech giants Google (GOOG), Intel (INTC), and Microsoft (MSFT) will also report, after lowering their guidance in the aftermath of the Thailand floods.

An eye on XLF and these:



Long ETF Long 2X Long 3X
Inverse -2X Inverse -3X
IYF/IYG UYG FAS
SKF FAZ



KRE, the regional bank index bears watching too.  As opposed o thise big companies, they still lend money!  Last week's KRE volume was very good and trades may be possible:


CapitalSource Inc Common Stock- weakCSE
Webster Financial Corporation C- fairWBS
Trustmark Corporation- goodTRMK
BB&T Corporation Common Stock - Caution: did >1:1.618 C to DBBT
Zions Bancorporation - BEST: jumped the creek, buy on ice retest if okZION
Susquehanna Bancshares, Inc. - BEST: On a great uptrend awaiting retracementSUSQ
Popular, Inc. - Will retest bottom -- weakBPOP
BancorpSouth, Inc. Common Stock -- good price bounce but weak long term chartBXS
FIRST REPUBLIC BANK  - at Mega-resistance FRC
Associated Banc-Corp - Caution: Gartley Butterfly suggest lower prices ASBC

So, a long trade here assumes the market will continue higher to support it because the individual stocks are not looking robust as a group.  The best, ZION, is quite a bit better looking than the group.  It is a holding company, so may have different basic fundamentals.  It pays a 21 cent dividend too.  But the longer term weekly chart looks weaker than the daily, so trading looks to me to be the only potential safe way to play this stock now.


Ah, here is the problem.  Look at the Monthly chart:




The drop from the 2007 top has had nor even a dead cat (0.382) bounce.  There is not a lot of life in this chart.  I'll proceed in a trade with even more caution as a result.















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